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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 2.0 AU with Completion Time: 2025-11-14T00:32Z

Model Inputs:
2025-11-13T18:38:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-20.0, Lat.=-19.0, Speed=602.0, HalfAngle=15.0, Time21.5=2025-11-13T23:59Z
2025-11-13T19:53:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-20.0, Lat.=-21.0, Speed=494.0, HalfAngle=21.0, Time21.5=2025-11-14T02:21Z

Model Outputs:
Earth Impact:
(Glancing Blow) Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2025-11-16T12:00Z (+- 7 hours)
Possible Kp index:
(kp)90=4
(kp)135=5
(kp)180=6

Other Location(s) Impact:
BepiColombo with estimated shock arrival time 2025-11-14T18:00Z (Glancing Blow)

Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251113_235800_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251113_235800_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251113_235800_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251113_235800_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251113_235800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251113_235800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251113_235800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251113_235800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251113_235800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251113_235800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251113_235800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251113_235800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251113_235800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Juice_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251113_235800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251113_235800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif

Note :
This 2-CME simulation result was created to determine if CME: 2025-11-13T18:38Z and CME: 2025-11-13T19:53Z combine. However, it can be observed in the density and velocity gif outputs that these events do not combine. The weak glancing blow to missions near Earth and Bepi Colombo are likely attributed to CME: 2025-11-13T19:53Z only. 
Version 1 submitted on 2025-11-14T00:37Z by Mattie Anastopulos
No Notification has been sent for this activity yet.


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