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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 2.0 AU with Completion Time: 2024-08-15T18:20Z

Model Inputs:
2024-08-14T08:00:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=71.0, Lat.=-2.0, Speed=605.0, HalfAngle=29.0, Time21.5=2024-08-14T15:28Z
2024-08-14T09:48:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=60.0, Lat.=7.0, Speed=637.0, HalfAngle=36.0, Time21.5=2024-08-14T15:50Z
2024-08-14T10:36:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=65.0, Lat.=3.0, Speed=509.0, HalfAngle=27.0, Time21.5=2024-08-14T18:10Z
2024-08-14T10:24:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=64.0, Lat.=-24.0, Speed=496.0, HalfAngle=30.0, Time21.5=2024-08-14T18:40Z

Model Outputs:
Earth Impact:
No or little impact to Earth.

Other Location(s) Impact:
Mars with estimated shock arrival time 2024-08-18T17:46Z
STEREO A with estimated shock arrival time 2024-08-17T11:00Z [PE: -11.2 hr]
Parker Solar Probe with estimated shock arrival time 2024-08-16T22:00Z (Glancing Blow)

Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240814_152800_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240814_152800_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240814_152800_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240814_152800_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240814_152800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240814_152800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240814_152800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240814_152800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240814_152800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240814_152800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Lucy_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240814_152800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240814_152800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240814_152800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240814_152800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240814_152800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif

Note :

Submitted on 2024-08-15T19:10Z by Anna Chulaki

A Notification with ID 20240815-AL-003 was sent on 2024-08-15T21:54Z

Comments by users:

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