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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 2.0 AU with Completion Time:
2024-06-19T21:23Z
Model Inputs: 2024-06-19T06:48:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=75.0, Lat.=-5.0, Speed=1111.0, HalfAngle=20.0, Time21.5=2024-06-19T10:05Z 2024-06-19T07:00:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=69.0, Lat.=-20.0, Speed=606.0, HalfAngle=27.0, Time21.5=2024-06-19T12:35Z Model Outputs: Earth Impact: No or little impact to Earth. Other Location(s) Impact: Mars with estimated shock arrival time 2024-06-23T00:00Z (Glancing Blow) OSIRIS-APEX with estimated shock arrival time 2024-06-21T20:00Z (Glancing Blow) Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240619_100500_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240619_100500_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240619_100500_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240619_100500_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240619_100500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240619_100500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240619_100500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240619_100500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240619_100500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240619_100500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Lucy_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240619_100500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240619_100500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240619_100500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240619_100500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240619_100500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif Note : Parker Solar Probe (PSP) is not included in these WSA-ENLIL+Cone simulation results due to a planned perihelion pass. Based on PSP's current location and the observed CME's measured speed, it is separately estimated by the M2M Office that PSP may observe the CME around 2024-06-19T20:19Z. CME 2024-06-19T07:00Z is slower and may be observed around 2024-06-20T05:59Z, but the fronts are very likely combined at this time and the first time should be used for impacts. Submitted on 2024-06-19T21:30Z by Tony Iampietro A Notification with ID 20240619-AL-002 was sent on 2024-06-19T21:37Z |
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