Space Weather Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information (DONKI)
Go to:
|
WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 2.0 AU with Completion Time:
2024-05-16T02:04Z
Model Inputs: 2024-05-15T08:36:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=105.0, Lat.=2.0, Speed=1766.0, HalfAngle=31.0, Time21.5=2024-05-15T10:33Z 2024-05-15T08:48:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=114.0, Lat.=-29.0, Speed=1082.0, HalfAngle=24.0, Time21.5=2024-05-15T11:58Z 2024-05-15T10:00:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=113.0, Lat.=-6.0, Speed=1205.0, HalfAngle=37.0, Time21.5=2024-05-15T12:36Z 2024-05-15T10:48:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=109.0, Lat.=-16.0, Speed=1162.0, HalfAngle=39.0, Time21.5=2024-05-15T14:05Z 2024-05-15T21:12:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=110.0, Lat.=2.0, Speed=1269.0, HalfAngle=29.0, Time21.5=2024-05-15T23:28Z Model Outputs: Earth Impact: No or little impact to Earth. Other Location(s) Impact: Mars with estimated shock arrival time 2024-05-17T14:19Z OSIRIS-APEX with estimated shock arrival time 2024-05-16T21:02Z Parker Solar Probe with estimated shock arrival time 2024-05-16T10:50Z Solar Orbiter with estimated shock arrival time 2024-05-17T04:00Z (Glancing Blow) Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240515_103500_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240515_103500_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240515_103500_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240515_103500_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240515_103500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240515_103500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240515_103500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240515_103500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240515_103500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240515_103500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Lucy_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240515_103500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240515_103500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240515_103500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240515_103500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240515_103500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif Note : The combined leading edge of the CMEs may impact BepiColombo around 2024-05-15T19:58Z (plus/minus 7 hours). A second bump in the Mars, OSIRIS-APEX, Parker Solar Probe, and Solar Orbiter timelines can be seen following the initial predicted arrival, due to the arrival of CME with ID 2024-05-15T21:12:00-CME-001. Submitted on 2024-05-16T02:10Z by Mary Aronne A Notification with ID 20240516-AL-001 was sent on 2024-05-16T02:22Z |
| Comments by users: |
| 0 comment received. |
The Moon to Mars Space Weather Analysis Office and other entities provide data to DONKI as a courtesy to the community.
By visiting this site, you acknowledge that you understand and agree to the Important Disclaimer Notice
If you are looking for the official U.S. Government forecast for space weather, please go to NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center (https://swpc.noaa.gov). This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.
Curator: Chiu Wiegand | NASA Official: Dr. Masha Kuznetsova | Privacy and Security Notices | Accessibility | CCMC Data Policy