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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 2.0 AU with Completion Time: 2024-05-16T00:41Z

Model Inputs:
2024-05-15T08:36:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=105.0, Lat.=2.0, Speed=1766.0, HalfAngle=31.0, Time21.5=2024-05-15T10:33Z
2024-05-15T08:48:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=114.0, Lat.=-29.0, Speed=1082.0, HalfAngle=24.0, Time21.5=2024-05-15T11:58Z
2024-05-15T10:00:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=113.0, Lat.=-6.0, Speed=1205.0, HalfAngle=37.0, Time21.5=2024-05-15T12:36Z
2024-05-15T10:48:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=109.0, Lat.=-16.0, Speed=1162.0, HalfAngle=39.0, Time21.5=2024-05-15T14:05Z

Model Outputs:
Earth Impact:
No or little impact to Earth.

Other Location(s) Impact:
Mars with estimated shock arrival time 2024-05-17T15:40Z
OSIRIS-APEX with estimated shock arrival time 2024-05-16T22:20Z
Parker Solar Probe with estimated shock arrival time 2024-05-16T10:57Z
Solar Orbiter with estimated shock arrival time 2024-05-17T04:00Z (Glancing Blow)

Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240515_103400_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240515_103400_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240515_103400_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240515_103400_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240515_103400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240515_103400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240515_103400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240515_103400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240515_103400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240515_103400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Lucy_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240515_103400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240515_103400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240515_103400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240515_103400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240515_103400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif

Note :
The combined leading edge of these CMEs may also impact BepiColombo around 2024-05-15T20:23Z (plus/minus 7 hours).

Submitted on 2024-05-16T00:55Z by Mary Aronne

No Notification has been sent for this activity yet.


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