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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 2.0 AU with Completion Time:
2024-04-12T17:20Z
Model Inputs: 2024-04-11T07:00:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-31.0, Lat.=6.0, Speed=911.0, HalfAngle=20.0, Time21.5=2024-04-11T10:18Z 2024-04-12T02:00:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=4.0, Lat.=-17.0, Speed=743.0, HalfAngle=45.0, Time21.5=2024-04-12T06:05Z Model Outputs: Earth Impact: Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2024-04-14T16:49Z (+- 7 hours) [PE: -40.5 hr] Duration of disturbance (hr) = 25.5 (+- 8 hours) Minimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 5.5 Possible Kp index: (kp)90=4 (kp)135=6 (kp)180=6 Other Location(s) Impact: STEREO A with estimated shock arrival time 2024-04-14T12:02Z Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240411_101900_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240411_101900_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240411_101900_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240411_101900_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240411_101900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240411_101900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240411_101900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240411_101900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240411_101900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240411_101900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240411_101900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240411_101900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240411_101900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240411_101900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Psyche_timeline.gif Note : The CME with ID 2024-04-12T02:00:00-CME-001 is predicted to impact NASA missions near Earth at 2024-04-14T16:49Z (plus/minus 7 hours), while CME with ID 2024-04-11T07:00:00-CME-001 may give a minor glancing blow to NASA missions near Earth around 2024-04-14T12:00Z, based on visual inspection of CME simulation results. CME with ID 2024-04-12T02:00:00-CME-001 may impact STEREO A around 2024-04-14T12:00Z, while CME with ID 2024-04-11T07:00:00-CME-001 may give a glancing blow to STEREO A around 2024-04-14T10:00Z. CME with ID 2024-04-12T02:00:00-CME-001 may give a glancing blow to Lucy around 2024-04-17T06:00Z. The CME with ID 2024-04-11T07:00:00-CME-001 may give a glancing blow to Psyche around 2024-04-18T06:00Z (plus/minus 7 hours). Submitted on 2024-04-12T17:27Z by Mary Aronne No Notification has been sent for this activity yet. |
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