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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 2.0 AU with Completion Time:
2024-04-05T13:33Z
Model Inputs: 2024-04-04T13:48:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=156.0, Lat.=-15.0, Speed=630.0, HalfAngle=23.0, Time21.5=2024-04-04T18:53Z 2024-04-04T15:23:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=151.0, Lat.=-19.0, Speed=875.0, HalfAngle=30.0, Time21.5=2024-04-04T19:02Z 2024-04-04T17:48:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=157.0, Lat.=-29.0, Speed=888.0, HalfAngle=33.0, Time21.5=2024-04-04T21:07Z Model Outputs: Earth Impact: No or little impact to Earth. Other Location(s) Impact: OSIRIS-APEX with estimated shock arrival time 2024-04-08T01:46Z Mars with estimated shock arrival time 2024-04-09T20:00Z (Glancing Blow) Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240404_185300_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240404_185300_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240404_185300_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240404_185300_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240404_185300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240404_185300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240404_185300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240404_185300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240404_185300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240404_185300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240404_185300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240404_185300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240404_185300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Psyche_timeline.gif Note : Parker Solar Probe (PSP) is not included in the WSA-ENLIL+Cone simulation results due to a planned perihelion pass. Based on PSP's current location and the measured speeds of the above CMEs, it is separately estimated by the M2M Office that the combined leading edge of the CMEs may impact PSP around 2024-04-05T02:20Z (+/- 7 hours). Submitted on 2024-04-05T13:35Z by Mattie Anastopulos A Notification with ID 20240405-AL-001 was sent on 2024-04-05T16:53Z |
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