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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 5.5 AU with Completion Time: 2024-02-09T18:24Z

Model Inputs:
2024-02-08T15:23:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=90.0, Lat.=-43.0, Speed=656.0, HalfAngle=21.0, Time21.5=2024-02-08T19:38Z
2024-02-08T16:48:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=90.0, Lat.=-31.0, Speed=762.0, HalfAngle=19.0, Time21.5=2024-02-08T21:14Z
2024-02-08T19:48:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=104.0, Lat.=-48.0, Speed=559.0, HalfAngle=23.0, Time21.5=2024-02-09T02:03Z
2024-02-08T23:48:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=105.0, Lat.=-37.0, Speed=929.0, HalfAngle=30.0, Time21.5=2024-02-09T03:27Z
2024-02-09T13:23:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=110.0, Lat.=-34.0, Speed=1754.0, HalfAngle=46.0, Time21.5=2024-02-09T15:11Z

Model Outputs:
Earth Impact:
No or little impact to Earth.

Other Location(s) Impact:
Mars with estimated shock arrival time 2024-02-12T03:11Z
OSIRIS-APEX with estimated shock arrival time 2024-02-10T12:55Z
Lucy with estimated shock arrival time 2024-02-14T02:00Z (Minor Impact)
Parker Solar Probe with estimated shock arrival time 2024-02-11T13:30Z (Glancing Blow)

Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240208_193900_5.5_anim.tim-den.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240208_193900_5.5_anim.tim-vel.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240208_193900_5.5_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240208_193900_5.5_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240208_193900_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240208_193900_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240208_193900_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240208_193900_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240208_193900_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_Juno_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240208_193900_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_Lucy_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240208_193900_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240208_193900_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240208_193900_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240208_193900_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240208_193900_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240208_193900_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_Psyche_timeline.gif

Note :
Based on analysis of the results, it is likely the CMEs starting at 2024-02-08T15:23Z and 2024-02-08T16:48Z will not have an impact to any of the locations listed.

Submitted on 2024-02-09T18:39Z by Anna Chulaki

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