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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 5.5 AU with Completion Time: 2023-08-27T15:23Z

Model Inputs:
2023-08-26T22:36:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-100.0, Lat.=-10.0, Speed=734.0, HalfAngle=48.0, Time21.5=2023-08-27T03:39Z

Model Outputs:
Earth Impact:
No or little impact to Earth.

Other Location(s) Impact:
Mars with estimated shock arrival time 2023-09-01T12:11Z
Lucy with estimated shock arrival time 2023-09-03T18:00Z (Glancing Blow)

Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230827_033900_5.5_anim.tim-den.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230827_033900_5.5_anim.tim-vel.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230827_033900_5.5_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230827_033900_5.5_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230827_033900_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230827_033900_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230827_033900_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230827_033900_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230827_033900_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_Juno_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230827_033900_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_Lucy_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230827_033900_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230827_033900_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230827_033900_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230827_033900_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230827_033900_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif

Note :
After further review, the manually added impact at Lucy has been changed from a Minor Impact to a Glancing Blow. The timelines for both Mars and Lucy indicate the arrival of a high-density band, but close visual inspection of the density animation shows only a flank arrival at Lucy from the black outline representing the CME.

Submitted on 2023-08-27T15:46Z by Hannah Hermann

A Notification with ID 20230827-AL-001 was sent on 2023-08-27T15:59Z


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