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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 2.0 AU with Completion Time: 2023-04-15T14:51Z

Model Inputs:
2023-04-14T21:12:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-56.0, Lat.=2.0, Speed=362.0, HalfAngle=23.0, Time21.5=2023-04-15T06:44Z
2023-04-14T22:36:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-53.0, Lat.=-2.0, Speed=436.0, HalfAngle=21.0, Time21.5=2023-04-15T06:45Z

Model Outputs:
Earth Impact:
No or little impact to Earth.

Other Location(s) Impact:
Lucy with estimated shock arrival time 2023-04-22T04:00Z (Minor Impact)
Mars with estimated shock arrival time 2023-04-20T18:00Z (Minor Impact)
STEREO A with estimated shock arrival time 2023-04-18T18:00Z (Glancing Blow)

Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230415_064400_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230415_064400_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230415_064400_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230415_064400_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_B.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230415_064400_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230415_064400_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_B.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230415_064400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230415_064400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230415_064400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230415_064400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230415_064400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STB_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230415_064400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230415_064400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230415_064400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230415_064400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230415_064400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif

Note :
The combined leading edge of these CMEs may give a minor impact to Mars around 2023-04-20T18:00Z (plus/minus 7 hours) and may be combined with the anticipated arrival of a coronal hole high speed stream as seen in the simulation's animation.
Version 1 submitted on 2023-04-15T15:03Z by Mary Aronne
No Notification has been sent for this activity yet.


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