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CME Analysis Information (for CME activity ID: 2025-03-13T17:36:00-CME-001)
Catalog: M2M_CATALOG
Data Level: 0 (0=real-time, 1=real-time and checked by supervising forecaster, 2=retrospective science level data analysis)
Use as primary measurement: true
Measurement Technique: SWPC_CAT

Detecting Instruments:

SOHO: LASCO/C2

Image Type: running difference
Speed (km/s): 618.0
Speed measured at height (Rs): 7.0
Type: C
Direction (LON/LAT in HEEQ): -4.0/ 26.0
Half Angular Width (degree): 37.0
Minor Half-width (degree): None Entered
Tilt (degree): None Entered
Time@21.5: 2025-03-13T22:46Z
Info/Session URL: None Entered
Note:

Measurement of wider shock front using only SOHO C2 and knowledge of the source as determined from EUV imagery. Attached WSA-Enlil+Cone simulation was executed in support of SEP models and should not be used for CME trajectory analysis. Based on simulation output, there is low confidence the CME may arrive at Earth very weakly.

Measurement Feature Code(s):

SH: Shock Front

General Keyword(s):

Submitted on 2025-03-14T15:27Z by Chris Stubenrauch

No Notification has been sent for this activity yet.

The List of WSA-ENLIL Results:

Model Name	Model Completion Time	AU	CME Input(s)	Predicted Earth Impact	Predicted Other Location(s) Impact
WSA-ENLIL+Cone	2025-03-14T15:26Z	2.0		Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2025-03-16T07:48Z Duration of disturbance (hr) = 11.7 Minimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 6.6 Possible Kp index: (kp)90=4 (kp)135=5 (kp)180=6	BepiColombo = 2025-03-14T15:56Z Solar Orbiter = 2025-03-14T20:56Z

All directly linked activities:

2025-03-13T17:36:00-CME-001

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